Louis René Beres

President Donald Trump with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (Photo: AP)

Essential Calculations of Rationality and Irrationality in US Nuclear Deterrence

Nuclear deterrence is a "game" that Donald Trump must learn to play, but only if he can first understand core elements of rationality and irrationality. These considerations will require a serious presidential commitment to solving complex analytic problems. Pertinent US decisions could have major security implications for Israel. Opinion

US President Donald Trump meets with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the White House (Photo: AP)

Prospects for Israel's Descent into Regional Chaos and War: The Trump Effect

Despite widely-held presumptions in Israel that US President Donald Trump is a security asset for the Jewish State, nothing could be further from the truth. Under no circumstances could Israel benefit from an American administration that is so plainly lacking in analytic, historical and intellectual vision. Opinion

USS Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group, reportedly deployed to the Mediterranean Sea (US Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Justin Lee Losack)

US-Russia Military Encounter in Syria: Implications for Israel

Although Israel seeks to make its own destiny in all military matters, Donald Trump is pushing America toward a superpower nuclear confrontation in Syria. Should this lead to actual nuclear conflict between Russia and the United States, the impact for Israel could be catastrophic. Opinion

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Photo: AP)

Looking Ahead in Jerusalem: Systematizing Future Nuclear Threats

In looking ahead to prospective nuclear threats, especially from Iran, Israeli military strategists must proceed systematically, with a properly fashioned analytic template that accounts for both the rationality and intentionality of all pertinent enemy decision-makers. Opinion

Mahmoud Abbas speaks during a Security Council meeting on the situation in the PA, Feb. 20, 2018 (Photo: AP)

Truth vs. Slogan in World Law: Disclosing Vital Differences

Although current world attention is focused on armed Israeli self-defense efforts along the Gaza border, the antecedent expressions of Palestinian terrorism have largely been ignored. These causal expressions are always a serious violation of pertinent international law, and can never be accepted as permissible. Opinion  

Prime Minister Netanyahu, center, sits next to Cabinet Secretary Tzachi Braverman, right, and Intelligence Minister Israel Katz (Photo: AP)

Iran, Israel and Anticipatory Self-Defense: Applying Legal Standards

Following very recent revelations that the Syrian nuclear reactor at Deir ez-Zor was destroyed very late in its construction (2007), Israel needs to maintain a residual preemption option against Iran. In this connection, it is recommended that Jerusalem have already prepared an appropriate and complementary defense under pertinent international law. Opinion

Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu at the 2018 AIPAC policy conference (Photo: AP)

Looking Beyond Power Politics: A Longer Term Israeli & Global Imperative

Although Israel must continue adhering to the central principles of realism or Realpolitik in world politics, it must also recognize the longer-term incapacities of such corrosive patterns of international statecraft. It follows that for Israel and all other major states, it is already time to think about creating more generally cooperative systems of world order. Opinion

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu leads a security cabinet tour in the Golan Heights (Photo: Kobi Gideon / GPO)

Israel and the Abyss: Chaos as Source of National Security

Although plainly counter-intuitive, Middle Eastern chaos could sometime prove an opportunity for Israel, rather than a liability. This is the case if Jerusalem were to understand regional "abyss" as an unlikely source of improved and more creative strategic thinking. Opinion

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot (Photo: Amos Ben Gershom/GPO)

Deciphering Complex Connections: World Politics and Israel's Nuclear Strategy

Israel's nuclear strategy, even while still-presumptive and "deliberately ambiguous," must be derived from a fully systemic understanding of world politics. Although such an epistemological imperative implies daunting analytic complexities, the long-term net benefits to Israel could be incalculable. Opinion