Louis René Beres

The Ohio-class ballistic missile submarine USS Maryland (US Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class James Kimber)

US Nuclear Strategy: Theories, Metaphors, and Scenarios

In world politics, everything is interconnected. The United States' nuclear strategy will have increasingly serious implications not only for US national security, but also for assorted allies, most notably Israel. Opinion

US Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Apprentice Ignacio D. Perez

A US War with Iran – Not in Israel's Strategic Interest

A "common sense" view in Israel is that an American war against Iran would be desirable or even gainful. This view is erroneous because US President Trump's underlying strategic posture is indecipherable and unpredictable. Opinion

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman with Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi (Photo: AP)

Arab Proliferation, Regional Power Balancing and Nuclear War in the Middle East

Israel still faces a potentially nuclear adversary in Iran. At the same time, certain normally adversarial Arab states, most plausibly Egypt and Saudi Arabia, could seek to balance this growing Shi’ite threat with a Sunni nuclear capacity. In such bewildering circumstances, Jerusalem would be faced with unprecedented but unavoidable decisions on "friend or foe." Opinion

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas addresses the UN General Assembly (Photo: AP)

A Threat beyond Terrorism: The Strategic Hazard of a Palestinian State

In making its cumulative judgments about Palestinian statehood, Israel’s leaders must be sure to look beyond the “ordinary” terror threat to more far-reaching strategic hazards. These significantly greater perils would be many-sided and intersecting, and should compel Jerusalem to fashion an increasingly seamless web of deterrence from Israel’s combined conventional and nuclear assets. Opinion  

The Doomsday Clock unveiled during The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists news conference (Photo: AP)

Donald Trump and the “Doomsday Clock”

The distinguished Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists recently set its “Doomsday Clock” at “Two minutes before midnight.” This largely symbolic but meaningful chronology pertains both to the US directly and to the wider world system in general. For Israel, a presumptively nuclear state, the survival implications are profound, warranting even more disciplined and substantial study. Opinion

From the first Trump-Kim summit if June 2018 (Photo: AP)

Toward a Second North Korean Summit: Adjusting US Expectations

As President Trump prepares for his second summit meeting with Kim Jong-un, he will need to stay focused on reasonable goals and cautionary strategies. Most plainly, he should orient the American position toward long-term mutual deterrence with North Korea, and not to any illusionary plans for "denuclearization." Opinion

Pro-ISIS demonstrators in Mosul (Archive photo: AP)

The US "Defeat" of ISIS: An Improbable Victory

President Donald Trump's announced "defeat" of ISIS was premature. Even more worrisome, it ignored that the key threat to America and its key allies (especially Israel) is not this particular terrorist group, but rather a still expanding and always underlying jihadist ideology. Opinion

US President Donald Trump meets with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House, March 2018 (Photo: AP)

Justifying Saudi Arabia after Khashoggi Murder: An Egregious Violation of International Law

Whatever happens with US foreign policy toward Saudi Arabia will likely have security reverberations in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv. Accordingly, Israeli planners will need to assess the probable impact of President Trump’s recent apologies for Riyadh's behavior regarding the Khashoggi murder in Istanbul. Opinion